Game Theory: Law of Asymmetry, Escalation, Eschatology convergence and Proximity

Law of Asymmetry

America and Iran are really not equal in terms of

Mass- Lot of people. But it creates lot of inequality. Competition for resources leads to debt and slavery. They don’t really like the Government. So they become complacent, lazy and indifferent.

Organisation-Science and Technology. They are the elites. But with time they become parasites. The way they make their money is through rent seeking. It means you have power and you monetize the power by exploiting the masses. Similar to Tax on UPI in India. But it leads to elite over Production coined by historian Peter Churchin. For example The French revolution, The fall of Roman empire all were because there were too many elites who start wars to claim power for themselves. It leads to factionalism or in fighting. The empire becomes insular. They don’t care about what’s happening outside. Like Politics in Bihar in India.

Depth- If there are no consequences to your action you become too lazy, arrogant and incompetent. This leads to idea if hubris. You keep repeating the same mistake over and over again.

So the Advantages of the Empire itself becomes disadvantages which leads to its downfall.

So over time and enemy will emerge that will take advantage of the weakness of the empire.

The weakness of Empire can be subdued with Motivation or Energy, Cohesiveness and Openness. Such an enemy will defeat the empire. If Iran is able to transform itself into these these three it will triumph over America.

The three strengths of America are

Technology- But it leads to dependency. Hampers innovation and resilience in the battle field.

Propoganda- But it leads to lack of regorous debate in American Government or American Elite which leads to hubris or bad decision making. Getting high on its own supply.

Money- But bribing doesn’t work because the people bribed may run away with your money or find ways to extract more money from you. They are hustlers who fight not for winning but to rip of American Government.

On the other hand the disadvantages of America are-

Lack of Political will.

Logistics for Ammunition from China.

Cannot afford Casualties.

Iran have lot of disadvantages but they have advantages as well.

Faith- Shia Jihad. But it can be fool hardy as well. The American destroyed their Navy first. Iranian not afraid to die didn’t helped

Terrain- Like Fortress. But it can also be a prison. America can disrupt essential supplies by targetting critical infrastructure.

Nationalism- Persian. But only 50% are Persian. Rest are Ethnically divisive. America can bribe the Kurda, the Azaris, the Balochs.

But law of Asymmetry tells that the empire is not as flexible or open and self reflexive as enemy. The empire becomes arrogant and ultimately Iran should triumph over America.

How will Americans attack

Decapitation- But it will solve the problem of elite over Production.

Areal Supremacy- But it will make Iranian more Cohesive. The urban and rural do not get along much. But bombing urban areas will bring them together.

Arming insurgents- But it will activate Persian Nationalism. For the long time the Persian identity was suppressed by Theocracy. When you turn other minorities against Persian you make them remember their original Persian identity.

America is still doing all this because it doesn’t care about Iran. It is stuck in its inside battle.

Nobody is able to find the reason for this war. Some say it is Christian Zionism which will result in the second coming of Jesus and so Trump is a Massiah.

Game Theory tells War is fought for Money, Power and Resources but current situation suggest that religion is more important and consciousness or attention is the only resources in the world and World War 3 is the final battle and whoever wins will control the soul of the people around the world.

Law of Escalation

Game Theory could be used to predict to what escalation this war will lead to

US ground Troops invasion- Yes

Nukes- No

Al Aswa mosque destruction- Yes

In Geopolitics there is something called Escalation ladder. The dominant theory is that whoever has Escalation dominance has the most advantage.

But escalation ladder don’t just have the two side in conflict in the play. It has emotions, power and reason or logic. And what drives people up is Adrenaline.

It is impossible to escape the escalation ladder. It is not about how fast you climb the escalation ladder which will make you over react. It is about climbing strategically with calm and control.

This will have three advantage over opponent

Focus

Calm

Resolve

It is not just about beating your opponent. It’s about justifying yourself to your friends, to police and to God as well.

So the law is Control is more important than Dominance. It allows you to calibrate. You time and structure and strategise your response in such a way that allows to to not only defend yourself but also strikes fear in the opponent but prove yourself Good to the spectators, and justify to the the Police.

The person who has the most flexible strategy will usually win the fight. By calibrating your movement you can manipulate the bully into self destruction.

US Iran Escalation ladder

US uses decapitation. But that didn’t worked so they target military bases. That didn’t work either so they tried economic embargo preventing trade if Iran with the world basically China. Thaen you attack civilians infrastructure. The next will be to use secret weapons like missiles to scare the opponent. Next will be biological and chemical weapons. Then the Nuclear weapons. Unless we see biological weapons, we can strike out Nuclear weapons.

The Iranian escalation ladder starts with attacking US radar systems and air defences. Then closing strait of Hormuz to make GCC and east Asian countries to put pressure in USA to end the war. Then they attack economy by attacking oil fields. Then if US attack civilian structure then Iran attacks civilian structure as well like Desalination Plants.

That’s the end of escalation ladder for Iran because it doesn’t have nuclear weapons.

So US and Israel have Escalation dominance than Iran because they can go way higher than Iran.

The Iran has much more option in decision tree like military targets, civilian targets etc so much more control while US Israel decision tree have no branches or option in each escalation step.

Iran is active while the USA is passive. Iran can choose when to provoke or not provoke the US.

Iran has clear strategy to control Strait of Hormuz and force US out of middle east. US doesn’t have clear plan. It just want to destroy Iran.

Iran is flexible. USA is not.

It means Iran will probably win this war. But it has to make important changes in the society.

Clarity- Ex Censorship of weapon attack in Israel and Dubai.

Focus- Unity in middle east. Crushing all dissent.

Resolve- Militarisation. Total war in the middle east.

Also this war is being fought multi dimensionally.

Narrative or world view.

Political – Nations are still talking to UD.

Economic- There is still trade going on.

Military- All that factors into how military is fought.

The cost vs production capacity is a pyramid with Soldiers at bottom then artillery or tanks then Naval then Air.

But US has inverted pyramid.That the production capacity is highest for air and lowest for soldiers. So USA ultimately has to use ground troops.

There are four players in the war with their own objectives.

USA- Destroy Iran.

Israel- Destroy Iran, GCC and CENTCOM.

Soudi Arabia- Destroy Iran, Destroy US and humble Israel.

Iran- Control Strait of Hormuz. Destroy CENTCOM. Humble Israel.

United States wants to destroy Iran but Israel, Soudi Arabia and Iran wants to destroy US. The only way is forcing US into a long ground war.

Therefore if you are Israel you don’t want to use nukes because it will end war too quickly.

So there are various explanation for US entering this war. The simplest is US want to prevent heart land formation because they can then use land for trade among themselves and with BRICS formation US have no choice but to destroy Iran so the trade is through maritime only which USA controls.

The complex explanation is through Law of Eschatological convergence.

The three holiest site in the world are Mecca, Madina and the Al Asqa mosque where Mohammad was supposed to accent to heaven.

Jews and Christian Zionist believes that this must be destroyed to built the third or the Solomon’s temple.

There is a universal law of Game Theory

Winning is Mass x (2) Energy/ Focus/Attention x (4) Coordination/Synchronicity

Energy is twice more important than Mass or number of people. Coordination is 4 times more important.

There are various ways to improve energy and coordination.

Leader- Limited time period.

Family/Blood- Cannot account for the differences or conflict in the family.

Narrative or Script- This is long term and eschatology is most effective.

Most Religions are similar. But there are certain aspects of each religion that are extreme.

For example

Jewish believe that they were kicked out of Jerusalem because they sinned and disobeyed God. God said to not worship false idols. So they each need to engage in act of redemption or humility or submission of piety to God. The God will then send a Massiah to lead them back to Jerusalem, defeat the enemies and then build the third temple so that God can come to Earth and live with all the Jews and create heaven on Earth.

But there are certain accelerationist who wants to force this so Massaiah could could come faster.

So if this eschatology is the vector to move things towards a direction than then which ever version is the most extreme or violent wins out.

Zoroastonism is the eschatology of the Persian Empire.

Light vs Dark. Day if Judgement. Heaven in Earth.

Protestant or Christian Zionism

They believe that God has a plan to create heaven in Earth. It takes Jewish eschatology and make certain changes to it.

First Messiah is Satan or the Anti Christ. He starts the war of Gog and Magog to destroy the Jews. At this time Jesus will return to Earth to save the Jews.

So in the beginning Zionist and Christian Zionist work together to reach a certain point in history. But then it will diverge and fight with each other.

Freemason want to take the Anti Christ and turn it into a system called Pax Judaica which is basically that Israel control the world through AI surveillance state or their exact words, Holy Empire. Pax Judaica want thing as The Mark of the Beast. It is a digital ID or digital currency or a microchip installed into the brain or a QR bar in your forehead. It wants one world Government based in Jerusalem. The headquarters will be the third temple or the Solomon’s temple.

Islamic eschatology is similar that the Jesus will return to defeat the Antichrist which they call Dajjal.

Shia believe that there will be 12th Inam Mahdi who will lead the Umrah or the followers into victory against the Dajjal, the Anti Christ.

In Catholic eschatology, we can call a city of God which is the church, the Jerusalem. According to them it is the millennium. We represent God and will bring peace and prosperity into the world. Catholic became dominant power in the world because Rome fell. But this is all part of God’s divine plan. Rome was the city of power and money. Jerusalem will be city of spirituality and divinity.

The city of God came to an end because of the rise of Palestinians and the Anglo American empire. So catholic can achieve its eschatology, the city of God by destroying the American empire.

The Orthodox eschatology is called the third Roman prophecy. Third Rome will be Moscow. First was Time. Second was Constantinople. Also there will be no fourth Rome and history ends and peace and prosperity returns to the world.

So Russia will unite the orthodox world. The Eastern Orthodoxy and Greek Orthodoxy. This prophecy says that the Russian will defeat the Turkia and greeks return to Constantinople which is modern day Istanbul.

Convergence

1.) Greater Israel project will be achieved. Pax Judaica or one world Government will be achieved.

2.) Al Asqa mosque will give way to the third temple.

3.) Rise of Anti Semitism because that will force the Jewish diaspora to return to Israel.

4.) The war of Gog and Magog. We don’t actually know what this is but it is suppose to be the final war before the return of God. The war in Iran will lead to war between Gog and Magog at some point.

5.) US and China are not part of this eschatology. Something will make them not significant anymore and the best prediction for US is then civil war.

Prediction

In Israel pax Judaica, or the greater Israel project will be achieved. Israel will use this war to expand its territories and then Capital and technology and money will start flowing into Israel to create Pax Judaica. Companies like Nvidia, Microsoft, Google Oracle.

America will use ground troops that will cause civil war in America.

CENTCOM will be transferred over to Israel.

GCC economies will be finished and will become irrelevant.

Turkia and Soudi Arabia will enter this war because you want to weaken the opposition to this eschatology as much as possible.

Al Asqa mosque will be destroyed.

There will be rise of Persia because you need the Arab world to unite against Israel. It’s irrelevant that Iran will win this war because it will activate their Persian identity.

People are interpreting Gog and Magog as Persia and Russia which will march against Israel, the Pax Judaica.

Russia will win war in Ukraine and then return Greeks to Constantinople. It’s possible that Greeks to war against Turkia and the Russia help them reach Istanbul.

But Turkia is a NATO member which means destruction of Europe or the NATO.

Because purely from Geopolitical or Realpolitik perspective this war makes no sense. But from Eschatological perspective it does.

Law of proximity

It states that when you are playing a game it is not just one game. There are many games at play and you play the game most proximate to you.

There are various situation you can find yourself at. Like Home, School, Office, City, State, Nation etc. The game you play is the one in front of you. At home you don’t play Office and so on.

Similarly the conflict between two nation is essentially a conflict within the nations based on which they act out in other Nations.

In America you have the civil conflict between Democrats and Republicans but they both support war at Iran. Democrat reason is that they think it will make Republican party really unpopular.

Republican think they may loose the war but President may impose emergency and get third term.

There is a deeper divide in America between Elites and Counter Elites. Elite is basically Democrats or the Empire. Counter elites are MAGA. The Empire is to maintain Global order. MAGA is to return to western hemisphere and put national interest first.

Wall Street or Finance is the main Backers of Elites while silicon valley or AI is the main Backers of Counter Elites. Elite are interested in maintaining a status quo while counter elites want revolution.

Let’s look Finance and AI

Both are bubbles or parasites. Finance cause what is called the private credit bubble. Companies lending loans to other companies stupidly because they think they control Washington DC who will bail them out of any trouble.

AI bubble is similar in which they give money to each other. Nvidia, Open AI etc. It’s a circle jerk and it’s getting lot of money from the GCC and the other investors. If they cannot due to war eventually this bubble has to burst. But they think they control Trump, the stock market and the white House which will bail them out.

So there are two private sectors. Finance and technology whi both are looking for government to bail them out when bubble burst. But government donot have infinite money. So they are going to fight over who bails who.

In Israel also there is a great divide. People are divided into impeachment of Netinyahu. The divide is between two cities, Tel Aviv and Jerusalem.

Tel Aviv is democratic. Jerusalem is Theocracy. Tel Aviv is open like for homosexuals but Jerusalem is conservative. Tel Aviv is Cosmopolitan Jerusalem is traditional.

They hate each other. Infact Tel Aviv is getting destroyed in this war but Jerusalem is ok with it. Jerusalem sees Tel Aviv as animal soul while itself as divine soul. They don’t care if world is destroyed. They only care about the coming of the Messaiah.

In Iran there are three divisions.

Islamic Theocracy, Secular Nationalists and Ethnic group as well. Because Itan is being bombarded this divide is less but law of proximity says people are more interested in internal conflict.  Both Iran and Israel are able to get precise location of their leaders to eliminate. This is not common unless internal factions helps the enemy.

The war in Iran is really between two competing visions of the world. Global Secular financial order and Nationalist theocratic order. So Iran is going to become more theocratic and extremely Nationalistic. Israel and America are going to be balanced democracy and embraces theocracy.

The world has gone too far in materialistic side. So now it is moving towards more spiritual side. But extreme of anything is the same thing basically.

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My view

Every country has fanatics that are being most successful in making the script of eschatology happen. In Hinduism it is the end of Kal Yuga and coming of Kalki Avatar.

I think India gave momentum to this trend with Hindutva which then spread to whole world. Though the west need to be balanced with religion and democracy India don’t need lok Dharma but true spirituality. The constitution of India has more things common with true sanatan than the lok dharma. I think India should understand this and play an important role by conveying the true meaning of spirituality to the world.